Let's see-- daily activity is fairly high. I work in a restaurant and am a delivery driver so I don't sit at work. My delivery area is only 3 miles across so I spend a lot of time walking, jogging, climbing stairs, sweeping, washing dishes, etc. Not much time in the car. My calories are just BWx10.
As far as water goes, I'd like to try to lose as much of it as possible in fat instead of water. I've done some reading on the subject and there are some compelling studies that show that fighters who make a habit of dropping water weight for fights tend to have a higher incidence of brain damage than those who do not lose much water. Something about losing the fluid around the brain. That scares the crap out of me.
I guess I'll do a little bit bigger deficit. I was hoping you'd all say, "Don't worry about it, the changes in size mean you're about to drop a bunch on the scale. Keep doing what you're doing!" lol